Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 3.674662 3.909037 4.161238 4.454729 4.789412 5.162327 5.613824
2025-06-08 3.324123 3.634545 3.987008 4.423138 4.957734 5.605316 6.472443
2025-06-15 3.090689 3.453856 3.884636 4.446442 5.181791 6.148170 7.588983
2025-06-22 2.840075 3.222694 3.690943 4.325945 5.200793 6.431080 8.453142
2025-06-29 2.612444 2.997125 3.478724 4.151249 5.115517 6.549002 9.117378
2025-07-06 2.455401 2.846187 3.346118 4.064471 5.136710 6.826996 10.168514
2025-07-13 2.405385 2.826950 3.382286 4.212677 5.526686 7.794342 13.104460
2025-07-20 2.331438 2.769249 3.359293 4.270263 5.784173 8.618468 16.528172
2025-07-27 2.310253 2.779679 3.430365 4.476625 6.332513 10.239766 25.072940
2025-08-03 2.266110 2.754266 3.446206 4.596503 6.754804 11.831283 40.206409
2025-08-10 2.181548 2.666102 3.361415 4.539134 6.822243 12.577631 57.192871
2025-08-17 2.079028 2.546891 3.221858 4.374599 6.642390 12.548102 68.007798
2025-08-24 1.992664 2.454103 3.127824 4.300121 6.685894 13.405291 135.350152
2025-08-31 1.921598 2.380241 3.058682 4.263868 6.813288 14.716481 4587.707540
2025-09-07 1.867694 2.328726 3.021028 4.281029 7.074462 16.910899 NaN
2025-09-14 1.791084 2.239696 2.917858 4.165692 6.992960 17.604953 NaN
2025-09-21 1.710403 2.141220 2.794178 4.000798 6.758386 17.384691 NaN
2025-09-28 1.651829 2.073611 2.716971 3.918506 6.724371 18.301584 NaN
2025-10-05 1.639106 2.074423 2.751107 4.055867 7.315278 24.453118 NaN
2025-10-12 1.611680 2.051177 2.743415 4.108853 7.695946 31.186377 NaN
2025-10-19 1.608387 2.064843 2.798759 4.300124 8.595168 55.013676 NaN
2025-10-26 1.591754 2.056514 2.815248 4.410887 9.300833 111.892484 NaN
2025-11-02 1.552244 2.010002 2.761388 4.357520 9.377725 166.695400 NaN